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Monday, November 15, 2010

Trade 2 of 187 on my Quest to Invest to a Million: Loblaw (TSX:L)Analysis

Hmmm....looks like if I would've put my money where my mouth was on the Loblaw call, I could be selling my first two percent gain today.


SymbolPriceChange% Change
L.TO42.06+0.82+1.99%LOBLAW COChart for LOBLAW CO
TD.TO73.20+0.52+0.72%
CNR.TO64.87+0.74+1.15%

Loblaw:

Chart:
The three month chart suggests there's still a fair bit of room for growth (at least another dollar/share which equates to about 2.5% from the current price of $42.06. Based on trend, it looks like it'll take about two weeks for that to happen.

3-Month Chart

Chart
In the News:
http://ca.news.finance.yahoo.com/s/09112010/30/link-f-cnw-loblaw-companies-awards-250-000-school-programs-across.html


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/big-grocers-facing-pricing-pitfalls/article1798940/

In the Industry:
Performance in the US consumer staples market might be viewed as a leading indicator for the Canadian consumer staples market.

NDUSTRIES IN THE CONSUMER STAPLES SECTOR
BROAD GLOBAL MARKET UNITED STATES INDEX
Performance
Industry1 Month3 MonthYTDPrice per
Earnings (TTM)
Price to
Sales (TTM)
Dividend Yield
Consumer Staples
117 Companies
+0.37%+7.57%+7.44%16.6x0.9x2.81%
Household & Personal Products
25 Companies
+0.28%+6.12%+4.52%16.2x2.0x2.83%
Food Beverage & Tobacco
66 Companies
+0.26%+7.66%+11.59%15.9x1.5x3.15%
Food & Staples Retailing
26 Companies
+0.75%+8.99%+0.88%19.4x0.4x1.90%

http://investing.businessweek.com/research/sectorandindustry/sectors/sectordetail.asp?code=30



Friday, November 12, 2010

Down 5.1%, and Moving onto Trade 2 of 187 on My Quest to Invest to a Million

I still haven't bought anything to recoup my 5.1% loss yet.

Yesterday's picks performed OK, given the overall market mood was down today.



SymbolPriceChange% Change
L.TO41.24+0.25+0.61%LOBLAW COChart for LOBLAW CO
TD.TO72.68-0.72-0.98%TORONTO-DOMINION BANKChart for TORONTO-DOMINION BANK


ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INC. CL BChart for ROGERS COMMUNICATIONS INC. CL B
CNR.TO64.13-0.92-1.41%
 http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=l.to

The overall S&P TSX 60 was down 1.39%, so comparatively speaking, all of these stocks performed on par or better than the portfolio as a whole.


Thursday, November 11, 2010

Trade 2 of 187 on my Quest to Invest to a Million

Buy #2 still hasn't been logged yet, thus the latency on the posting. Let this be a lesson - it's easy to get distracted. When starting on a mission like this, make yourself accountable in some way that will keep you focussed. It's too easy to give up, or get lazy.

That said, buy#2 won't be rushed. It's important to stick to timelines, but it's also important to make informed decisions.

Tonight, the decision is narrowed down to three stocks, based on their candlestick charts. From there, the decision will be narrowed to one based on additional comparisons. The three stocks are Loblaw's (TSX:L), Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR), and Toronto Dominion Bank (TSX:TD).

I like them all because they're trading below their 20- and 50-day moving averages.

L.TO
http://stockcharts.com/scripts/php/candleglance.php?wn.to,%20l.to,%20mru.a.to,%20sap.to,%20sc.to
CandleGlance L.TO
Two things I like here: the 20- and 50-day averages have just crossed. The hammer, followed by the doji on the downtrend suggest that the trend may be reaching a turning point. The price has almost met support on the bottom.
CNR.TO
http://stockcharts.com/scripts/php/candleglance.php?bbd.b.to,%20cnr.to,%20cp.to,%20snc.to
CandleGlance CNR.TO
I like this one because of the hammer posted at the bottom of the downtrend, and the three consecutive gains. Again, we've reached support and are ready to bounce back to resistance in the shorter term - a potential gain of well over 2%.

TD.TO
http://stockcharts.com/scripts/php/candleglance.php?bmo.to,%20bns.to,%20bam.a.to,%20cm.to,%20mfc.to,%20na.to,%20pow.to,%20ry.to,%20slf.to,%20td.to
CandleGlance TD.TO
I like TD for the same reasons I like Loblaws - doji and hammer on a downtrend, crossover of the 20- and 50-day moving averages, and it's trading below it's moving averages.

http://www.cn.ca/en/media-news-q2-dividend-20100426.htm


Company
Earnings Per Share
Price/Earnings Ratio
Loblaws (L)
2.40
16.97
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
5.15
14.25
Canadian National Railway
3.94
16.51


Based on this, TD is the best value for the investment. Highest earnings per share and lowest P/E ratio. And it was my suggestion a few days earlier.

Now I'll check for the dividend payout dates - maybe I can get more bang for my buck.
http://www.thefinancialblogger.com/canadian-dividend-stocks-ex-dividend-date/

L: Dec.15 holding position (if you own the stock on this date, you'll get paid out on Dec.31)http://www.loblaw.ca/en/inv_sharehold.html

TD: January 2011
http://www.td.com/investor/common.jsp

CNR: Dec.9 holding position
http://www.cn.ca/en/media-news-q2-dividend-20100426.htm

Monday, November 8, 2010

Fool.com: Stock Investing Advice | Stock Research

Fool.com: Stock Investing Advice | Stock Research

Although these guys don't deal specifically with the Canadian market, reading their book is why I started investing on my own. I recommend anything this group has to offer.

How to be a do-it-yourself investor - Moneyville.ca

How to be a do-it-yourself investor - Moneyville.ca

This is a great article for people interested in becoming do-it-yourself investors.